Thaum Lub Plaub Hlis 2, 2025, Donald Trump tau kos npe rau ob "kev sib tw nqi se" cov thawj coj ntawm Tsev Dawb, ua rau 10% "tus nqi qis kawg nkaus" rau ntau dua 40 tus neeg koom tes nrog kev lag luam uas Asmeskas ua lag luam tsis txaus. Tuam Tshoj ntsib 34% tariff, uas, ua ke nrog 20% tus nqi uas twb muaj lawm, yuav tag nrho 54%. Thaum Lub Plaub Hlis 7, Tebchaws Asmeskas tau nce ntxiv kev ntxhov siab, hem ntxiv 50% tariff rau Suav cov khoom lag luam pib lub Plaub Hlis 9. Nrog rau peb txoj kev taug kev dhau los, Suav xa tawm mus rau Asmeskas tuaj yeem ntsib cov nqi se siab txog 104%. Hauv kev teb, Tuam Tshoj yuav txiav txim 34% tariff rau imports los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas Qhov no yuav cuam tshuam li cas rau kev lag luam tshuaj hauv tsev?
Raws li 2024 cov ntaub ntawv nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj lub sab saum toj 20 tshuaj ntshuam los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas, cov khoom no feem ntau yog concentrated nyob rau hauv propane, polyethylene, ethylene glycol, natural gas, crude roj, thee, thiab catalysts - feem ntau raw cov ntaub ntawv, thawj cov khoom ua tiav, thiab catalysts siv nyob rau hauv chemical ntau lawm. Ntawm lawv, saturated acyclic hydrocarbons thiab liquefied propane account rau 98.7% thiab 59.3% ntawm US imports, nrog ntim txog 553,000 tons thiab 1.73 lab tons, feem. Tus nqi ntshuam ntawm liquefied propane ib leeg ntaus $11.11 billion. Thaum cov roj crude, liquefied natural gas, thiab coking thee kuj muaj qhov tseem ceeb ntshuam, lawv cov khoom muaj qis dua 10%, ua rau lawv hloov tau ntau dua li lwm cov khoom siv tshuaj. Cov tariffs reciprocal yuav ua rau kom cov nqi ntshuam thiab txo qhov ntim rau cov khoom xws li propane, muaj peev xwm nce nqi ntau lawm thiab ua kom nruj rau cov khoom siv qis qis. Txawm li cas los xij, qhov cuam tshuam rau cov roj av, roj av, thiab coking thee ntshuam yuav tsum raug txwv.
Nyob rau sab export, Tuam Tshoj lub saum toj kawg nkaus 20 tshuaj xa mus rau Teb Chaws Asmeskas nyob rau hauv 2024 yog dominated los ntawm yas thiab lwm yam khoom, ntxhia roj, ntxhia roj thiab distillation khoom, organic tshuaj, lwm yam tshuaj, thiab roj hmab khoom. Plastics ib leeg suav rau 12 ntawm 20 yam khoom saum toj kawg nkaus, nrog rau kev xa tawm muaj nqis txog $ 17.69 billion. Feem ntau cov khoom lag luam xa tawm hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas ua rau tsawg dua 30% ntawm Tuam Tshoj tag nrho, nrog cov hnab looj tes polyvinyl chloride (PVC) yog qhov siab tshaj ntawm 46.2%. Cov kev hloov pauv tariff yuav cuam tshuam rau cov khoom siv yas, cov roj ntxhia, thiab cov khoom siv roj hmab, qhov chaw uas Tuam Tshoj muaj cov khoom xa tawm ntau heev. Txawm li cas los xij, Suav tuam txhab lag luam kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem pab txo qee qhov kev poob qis.
Tawm tsam keeb kwm yav dhau los ntawm kev nce nqi tariffs, txoj cai volatility yuav cuam tshuam kev thov thiab nqi rau qee yam tshuaj. Hauv Asmeskas kev lag luam xa tawm, cov khoom ntim loj xws li cov khoom yas thiab cov log tsheb tuaj yeem ntsib kev nyuaj siab. Rau kev ntshuam los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas, cov ntaub ntawv nyoos xws li propane thiab saturated acyclic hydrocarbons, uas vam khom rau cov neeg muag khoom Asmeskas, yuav pom muaj kev cuam tshuam rau tus nqi ruaj ntseg thiab kev ruaj ntseg rau cov khoom siv tshuaj lom neeg.
Lub sij hawm xa tuaj: Plaub Hlis-18-2025